Conditional Probability Density Function (Conditional PDF)

Published on May 9, 2025 by Aman K Sahu

What is a Conditional PDF?

A Conditional Probability Density Function (Conditional PDF) tells us how likely a value of one random variable is, given that we already know the value of another variable.

Think of it like this: You’re picking a student randomly, but you know they are from class 10. Now, what’s the chance their height is between 5ft and 5.5ft? That’s what a conditional PDF helps calculate.

Formula:
fX|Y(x|y) = fX,Y(x, y) / fY(y), where fY(y) ≠ 0
This means: Divide the joint probability by the probability of what you already know.

What You Need

To use the conditional PDF formula, you need two things:

  • Joint PDF (fX,Y(x, y)): This gives the probability of both X and Y happening together.
  • Marginal PDF (fY(y)): This is the probability of just Y happening, no matter what X is.

Easy Example

Let's say:
fX,Y(x, y) = 2 for 0 ≤ x ≤ y ≤ 1

Step 1: Find fY(y) = ∫0y 2 dx = 2y

Step 2: Use the formula:
fX|Y(x|y) = fX,Y(x, y) / fY(y) = 2 / 2y = 1/y, for 0 ≤ x ≤ y

So, if Y = 0.5, the conditional PDF is 1/0.5 = 2 for x between 0 and 0.5.

Important Points

  • A conditional PDF is always ≥ 0
  • The total area under the conditional PDF (for fixed Y) is 1
  • To find a probability like P(a < X ≤ b | Y = y), you integrate:
    ab fX|Y(x|y) dx
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